Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Empoli3 - 1Udinese
We said: Empoli 1-1 Udinese
Both teams will believe that they can hurt the other in the final third of the field, and it should be an open and entertaining contest at Stadio Carlo Castellani. A case can be made for either side to win, but we are backing a low-scoring draw on Monday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Udinese |
| 51.31% | 22.68% | 26.01% |
| Both teams to score 60.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
