Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.
