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Serie A
Empoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Milan logo

Empoli
2 - 4
AC Milan

Bajrami (18'), Pinamonti (84' pen.)
Romagnoli (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kessie (12', 42'), Florenzi (63'), Hernandez (69')
Tonali (39'), Bennacer (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Empoli and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Empoli 1-1 AC Milan

 Milan are limping to the finish line in 2021, having started out with dreams of Scudetto glory last January - subsequently dashed by their bitterest rivals - and they could now be taking a similar road heading into the new year. A lack of attacking thrust has been apparent in recent weeks, and Empoli are more than capable of taking advantage of defensive uncertainty since the devastating injury to Simon Kjaer. Therefore, a point will have to satisfy the visitors before they take stock during the brief winter break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.42%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Empoli win was 2-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
29.67%22.08%48.25%
Both teams to score 65.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.03%33.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.17%55.83%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.13%22.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.38%56.62%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42%14.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34%42.66%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 29.67%
    AC Milan 48.25%
    Draw 22.08%
EmpoliDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 6.99%
1-0 @ 4.92%
2-0 @ 3.63%
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.27%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 29.67%
1-1 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 6.73%
0-0 @ 3.34%
3-3 @ 2.12%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.08%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 6.42%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 5.85%
2-3 @ 4.32%
0-3 @ 3.97%
1-4 @ 2.82%
2-4 @ 2.08%
0-4 @ 1.91%
1-5 @ 1.09%
3-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 48.25%

How you voted: Empoli vs AC Milan

Empoli
23.5%
Draw
19.3%
AC Milan
57.1%
119
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
AC Milan
3-0
Empoli
Piatek (49'), Kessie (51'), Castillejo (67')
Calhanoglu (71')

Di Lorenzo (55')
> Match Report
Sep 27, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 6
Empoli
1-1
AC Milan
Caputo (71' pen.)
Maietta (53'), Capezzi (55')
Capezzi (10' og.)
Calabria (45'), Laxalt (83')
Apr 23, 2017 2pm
AC Milan
1-2
Empoli
Lapadula (72')
Sosa (21'), De Sciglio (48')
Mchedlidze (40'), Baba Thiam (67')
Baba Thiam (56'), Tello (82'), El Kaddouri (89'), Bellusci (90')
Nov 26, 2016 7.45pm
Empoli
1-4
AC Milan
Saponara (17')
Krunic (37'), Bellusci (89')
Lapadula (15', 78'), Suso (61'), Costa (64' og.)
Romagnoli (4'), Kucka (31'), Bonaventura (43')
Jan 23, 2016 7.45pm
Empoli
2-2
AC Milan
Zielinski (32'), Maccarone (61')
Barba (36'), Saponara (60')
Bacca (8'), Bonaventura (48')
Honda (59'), Montolivo (60'), Balotelli (82'), Romagnoli (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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