Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK

San Siro

AC Milan
1 - 3
Sassuolo

Romagnoli (21')
Bennacer (53'), Hernandez (54'), Tonali (71'), Kjaer (73')
Romagnoli (77')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Scamacca (24'), Kjaer (33' og.), Berardi (66')
Lopez (27'), Raspadori (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: AC Milan 3-1 Sassuolo

There are likely to be goals in this game, as Sassuolo have scored in each of their last nine outings, including 10 in their last five. Milan may once more be short of their full complement, but Stefano Pioli has played his part in building a deeper young squad to cope with such difficulties, and the Rossoneri should return to winning ways in Serie A. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 61.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.38%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Sassuolo
61.18%	20.48%	18.34%

Both teams to score 57.24%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61%

39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.68%

61.32%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.69%

12.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.9%

38.1%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.27%

34.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.54%

71.46%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 61.18%

Sassuolo 18.34%

Draw 20.48%

AC Milan	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.38% 1-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.93% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.63% 4-0 @ 3.43% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.52% 5-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 3.86% Total : 61.18%	1-1 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.28% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.48%	1-2 @ 5.01% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.8% Total : 18.34%