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The Match

Team News

Tyler Morton and Divock Origi both start for Liverpool in their final Champions League group-stage clash with AC Milan at San Siro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with AC Milan.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with AC Milan on Tuesday.

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Liverpool

An inexperienced Liverpool side playing on the San Siro turf for the first time may just come up short this week, especially with Pioli's side having much more to fight for in midweek. Very rarely are the Reds kept at bay no matter who leads the line, but the Rossoneri's settled XI can follow up their hard-fought Wanda Metropolitano win with a victory that may or may not be enough for a spot in the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLiverpool
23.03%23.95%53.02%
Both teams to score 52.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84%48.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68%70.32%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92%72.08%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89%18.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95%49.05%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 23.03%
    Liverpool 53.01%
    Draw 23.94%
AC MilanDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-1 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 3.46%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 23.03%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 9.34%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 5.32%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.01%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Liverpool

AC Milan
36.2%
Draw
13.7%
Liverpool
50.1%
773
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Liverpool
3-2
AC Milan
Tomori (9' og.), Salah (49'), Henderson (69')
Milner (90+3')
Rebic (42'), Diaz (44')
Bennacer (13'), Diaz (61')
Jul 31, 2016 3am
Pre-season Friendlies
Liverpool
2-0
AC Milan
Origi (59'), Firmino (73')
Lallana (40')
Aug 2, 2014 11.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Liverpool
2-0
AC Milan
Allen (17'), Suso (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


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