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The Match

Team News

Tyler Morton and Divock Origi both start for Liverpool in their final Champions League group-stage clash with AC Milan at San Siro.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between AC Milan and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Liverpool could line up for Tuesday's Champions League clash with AC Milan.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with AC Milan on Tuesday.

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Liverpool

An inexperienced Liverpool side playing on the San Siro turf for the first time may just come up short this week, especially with Pioli's side having much more to fight for in midweek. Very rarely are the Reds kept at bay no matter who leads the line, but the Rossoneri's settled XI can follow up their hard-fought Wanda Metropolitano win with a victory that may or may not be enough for a spot in the knockout rounds. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for AC Milan had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for an AC Milan win it was 1-0 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLiverpool
23.03%23.95%53.02%
Both teams to score 52.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.84%48.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.68%70.32%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68%35.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92%72.08%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89%18.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95%49.05%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 23.03%
    Liverpool 53.01%
    Draw 23.94%
AC MilanDrawLiverpool
1-0 @ 6.66%
2-1 @ 5.92%
2-0 @ 3.46%
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.75%
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 23.03%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.06%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.94%
0-1 @ 10.92%
1-2 @ 9.72%
0-2 @ 9.34%
1-3 @ 5.54%
0-3 @ 5.32%
2-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 2.27%
2-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.01%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Liverpool

AC Milan
36.2%
Draw
13.7%
Liverpool
50.1%
773
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Liverpool
3-2
AC Milan
Tomori (9' og.), Salah (49'), Henderson (69')
Milner (90+3')
Rebic (42'), Diaz (44')
Bennacer (13'), Diaz (61')
Jul 31, 2016 3am
Pre-season Friendlies
Liverpool
2-0
AC Milan
Origi (59'), Firmino (73')
Lallana (40')
Aug 2, 2014 11.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Liverpool
2-0
AC Milan
Allen (17'), Suso (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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