Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 14

Dec 1, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
1 - 4
Liverpool

Gray (38')
Townsend (16'), Allan (31'), Digne (40'), Gray (44')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Henderson (9'), Salah (19', 64'), Jota (79')
Alcantara (39'), Robertson (63'), van Dijk (80')

Mohamed Salah breaks fresh Liverpool goal record in Everton win

Mohamed Salah sets another Liverpool record during the 4-1 Merseyside derby win over Everton, becoming the first player to score or assist in seven successive away games.

Dec 2, 07:54

Liverpool's Mohamed Salah celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on December 1, 2021

Liverpool record biggest away Merseyside derby win over Everton for 39 years

Liverpool's 4-1 win over Everton at Goodison Park is their biggest away win in a Merseyside derby since a 5-0 triumph in November 1982, when Ian Rush scored four times.

Dec 2, 07:38

Liverpool's Diogo Jota celebrates scoring their fourth goal with Trent Alexander-Arnold and teammates on December 1, 2021

Liverpool break all-time English football goalscoring record with derby rout

Liverpools 4-1 victory over Everton in the Merseyside derby sees them become the first English top-flight team to score multiple goals in 18 successive matches.

Dec 2, 07:20

The Match

We said: Everton 0-2 Liverpool

As the old saying goes, form goes out of the window when it comes to such a hotly-contested derby, and Everton's recent record against Liverpool at Goodison Park will certainly serve as encouragement. Each of the last four meetings between the sides on the Toffees' turf has ended level, but a weakened Everton backline and misfiring attack are ill-equipped to take a point from this clash, with Klopp's men sweeping aside almost everything in front of them at present. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Everton had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Liverpool
14.51%	18.19%	67.31%

Both teams to score 56.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.47%

35.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.42%

57.58%

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84%

37.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.05%

73.95%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.28%

9.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.62%

32.39%

Score Analysis

Everton 14.51%

Liverpool 67.31%

Draw 18.19%

Everton	Draw	Liverpool
2-1 @ 4.13% 1-0 @ 3.58% 2-0 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.59% 3-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.09% Total : 14.51%	1-1 @ 8.34% 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 3.61% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.19%	0-2 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-1 @ 8.42% 0-3 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 7.55% 0-4 @ 4.44% 1-4 @ 4.4% 2-3 @ 3.74% 2-4 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 2.07% 1-5 @ 2.05% 2-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 4.29% Total : 67.31%