Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 17

Dec 12, 2021 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
2 - 1
Lazio

Berardi (63'), Raspadori (69')
Berardi (77')
Ayhan (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zaccagni (6')
Marusic (40'), Anderson (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

It is difficult to see this encounter ending without a flurry of goals, as part of the Azzurri strikeforce which helped Italy win the Euros will be on display - with Immobile and Berardi being in particularly fine form. Though Lazio have struggled to make a mark away from their Roman headquarters, they can strike on the counter to seal victory - establishing a significant points gap between the two clubs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sassuolo in this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Lazio
45.16%	24.14%	30.7%

Both teams to score 59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.73%

43.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.33%

65.67%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66%

19.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88%

51.11%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.15%

26.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.84%

62.16%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 45.16%

Lazio 30.7%

Draw 24.13%

Sassuolo	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.01% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 3.84% 3-2 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.58% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.19% Total : 45.16%	1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 7.38% 0-1 @ 6.83% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.66% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.09% Total : 30.7%