Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 5, 2021 at 2pm UK

Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy

Spezia
2 - 2
Sassuolo

Manaj (35'), Gyasi (48')
Reca (1'), Maggiore (4'), Sala (26'), Hristov (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Raspadori (66', 79')
Frattesi (44'), Kiriakopoulos (74'), Berardi (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Confidence will be coursing through the veins of Sassuolo's squad following two commendable results in the space of a week, so their impressive front three should anticipate their trip to the Picco with great relish. Spezia's defensive woes do not seem set to end any time soon, given Thiago Motta's approach so far, and that will cost them again on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Spezia win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sassuolo
31.93%	23.19%	44.88%

Both teams to score 63.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.81%

38.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.53%

60.46%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38%

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.3%

57.7%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.57%

17.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.12%

47.88%

Score Analysis

Spezia 31.93%

Sassuolo 44.88%

Draw 23.18%

Spezia	Draw	Sassuolo
2-1 @ 7.49% 1-0 @ 5.94% 2-0 @ 4.29% 3-1 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.93%	1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.18%	1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 6.28% 1-3 @ 5.28% 2-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.66% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.6% Other @ 4.03% Total : 44.88%