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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 28, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
Bologna logo

Spezia
0 - 1
Bologna


Reca (38'), Salcedo (71'), N'Zola (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arnautovic (83' pen.)
Arnautovic (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Spezia 1-2 Bologna

Given their surprise defeat last time out, Bologna will throw caution to the wind here to remain in contention for the European spots. While Spezia will ensure that the visitors do not have it all their own way, we still expect a narrow win for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.18%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawBologna
40.18%25.53%34.29%
Both teams to score 55.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.66%48.34%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.52%70.48%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2%23.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03%57.96%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93%27.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55%62.45%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.18%
    Bologna 34.29%
    Draw 25.52%
SpeziaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 8.67%
2-0 @ 6.64%
3-1 @ 4.15%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.18%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 6.44%
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.52%
0-1 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 5.5%
1-3 @ 3.44%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-3 @ 2.4%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.29%

How you voted: Spezia vs Bologna

Spezia
31.7%
Draw
20.0%
Bologna
48.3%
60
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 31
Bologna
4-1
Spezia
Orsolini (12' pen.), Barrow (18'), Svanberg (54', 60')
Soumaoro (39')
Ismajli (34')
Bastoni (36')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Spezia
2-2
Bologna
N'Zola (19', 63')
Marchizza (16'), Gyasi (37'), Agoume (49'), Chabot (85'), Provedel (90+1'), Erlic (90+3')
Dominguez (72'), Barrow (90+2')
Tomiyasu (25')
Nov 25, 2020 4.30pm
Fourth Round
Bologna
2-4
Spezia
Barrow (13'), Orsolini (45+1')
Dominguez (44'), Medel (50'), Soriano (104'), Sansone (116')
Piccoli (5'), Farias (64'), Maggiore (100', 119')
Marchizza (27'), Agudelo (58'), Chabot (62'), Deiola (78'), Krapikas (89'), Mattiello (114'), Maggiore (114')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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