Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 4AC Milan
FT(HT: 0-2)
Leao (16'), Calabria (35'), Bennacer (84'), Ibrahimovic (90')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Tonali (45+1'), Calabria (61'), Saelemaekers (67')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
| 33.92% | 24.54% | 41.54% |
| Both teams to score 58.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
