Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 19, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Porto1 - 0AC Milan
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | AC Milan |
| 38.8% | 24.91% | 36.29% |
| Both teams to score 58.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
