Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 11, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Sporting Lisbon1 - 1Porto
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Porto |
| 28.75% | 28.66% | 42.59% |
| Both teams to score 44.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
