Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.22%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 13.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.23%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.