Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Feb 1, 2021 at 7pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 0
Rio Ave

Diaz (44'), Evanilson (74')
Uribe (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Jeronimo (38'), Pinto (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 14.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.64%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Rio Ave
64.13%	21.52%	14.35%

Both teams to score 45.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27%

50.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.63%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84%

15.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24%

43.75%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.13%

46.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.61%

82.39%

Score Analysis

Porto 64.12%

Rio Ave 14.35%

Draw 21.52%

Porto	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 13.4% 2-0 @ 12.64% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 6.03% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.28% 5-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.08% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.08% Total : 64.12%	1-1 @ 10.15% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 3.63% Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.52%	0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 2.04% 1-3 @ 0.97% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.19% Total : 14.35%