Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Jan 3, 2021 at 9pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
3 - 0
Moreirense

Oliveira (22' pen.), Martinez (88'), Evanilson (90+1')
Corona (30'), Martinez (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 8.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.58%) and 3-0 (11.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Moreirense
75.79%	16.15%	8.06%

Both teams to score 40.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.56%

44.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18%

66.82%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.01%

9.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.98%

33.02%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.32%

54.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.31%

87.69%

Score Analysis

Porto 75.77%

Moreirense 8.06%

Draw 16.15%

Porto	Draw	Moreirense
2-0 @ 14.49% 1-0 @ 12.58% 3-0 @ 11.12% 2-1 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 6.41% 4-1 @ 3.87% 5-0 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.03% 5-1 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 1.17% 6-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.77% Total : 75.77%	1-1 @ 7.6% 0-0 @ 5.47% 2-2 @ 2.64% Other @ 0.45% Total : 16.15%	0-1 @ 3.3% 1-2 @ 2.29% 0-2 @ 1% Other @ 1.47% Total : 8.06%