Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 14.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
63.27% | 22.12% | 14.61% |
Both teams to score 44.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.47% | 52.53% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.81% | 74.19% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.95% | 16.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.6% | 45.4% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.43% | 47.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.08% | 82.91% |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 12.77% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 7.79% 3-1 @ 5.79% 4-0 @ 3.57% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 2.15% 5-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 0.98% 5-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.83% Total : 63.26% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 7.63% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.11% | 0-1 @ 5.67% 1-2 @ 3.86% 0-2 @ 2.11% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.03% Total : 14.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |