Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 70.12%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.39%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
| 70.12% | 19.4% | 10.47% |
| Both teams to score 40.25% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.1% | 50.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.22% | 72.78% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.64% | 13.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.75% | 40.25% |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.46% | 53.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.01% | 86.99% |
| Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon 70.11%
Nacional 10.47%
Draw 19.4%
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Nacional |
| 2-0 @ 14.49% 1-0 @ 14.39% 3-0 @ 9.72% 2-1 @ 9.05% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 4.89% 4-1 @ 3.06% 5-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.9% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.38% Total : 70.11% | 1-1 @ 9% 0-0 @ 7.15% 2-2 @ 2.83% Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.4% | 0-1 @ 4.47% 1-2 @ 2.81% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.8% Total : 10.47% |
How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional
Sporting Lisbon
94.7%Draw
0.0%Nacional
5.3%19
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2016 9pm
Form Guide
