Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Nacional win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
28.25% | 27.7% | 44.06% |
Both teams to score 46.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.15% | 58.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.65% | 79.36% |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.31% | 36.69% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.52% | 73.48% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.44% | 26.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.23% | 61.77% |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 6.49% 2-0 @ 4.9% 3-1 @ 2.17% 3-0 @ 1.64% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.84% Total : 28.25% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 9.75% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 12.92% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.79% 2-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |