Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.