Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for SC Farense had a probability of 24.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a SC Farense win it was 0-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.