Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Feb 13, 2021 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio da Madeira

Nacional
2 - 3
Farense

Vigario (68'), Mendes (83')
Azouni (40'), Ramos (45'), Borges (84'), Correia (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pinto (51'), Gauld (62'), Mendes (86' og.)
Nunes (66'), Stojiljkovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Nacional	Draw	SC Farense
40.73%	27.8%	31.47%

Both teams to score 47.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91%

58.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24%

78.76%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01%

27.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37%

63.62%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17%

33.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5%

70.49%

Score Analysis

Nacional 40.72%

SC Farense 31.47%

Draw 27.79%

Nacional	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 12.05% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.81% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.47% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.79%	0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.08% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.37% Total : 31.47%