Primeira Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 30, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estádio João Cardoso

Tondela
2 - 0
Farense

Pedro (46'), Barbosa (90+6')
Martinez (50'), Murillo (60'), Barbosa (79'), Bebeto (85'), Niasse (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Pinto (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and SC Farense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 0-1 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
Tondela	Draw	SC Farense
39.13%	28.83%	32.04%

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.43%

61.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.58%

81.42%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.39%

30.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.15%

66.84%

SC Farense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73%

35.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98%

72.02%

Score Analysis

Tondela 39.12%

SC Farense 32.04%

Draw 28.82%

Tondela	Draw	SC Farense
1-0 @ 12.77% 2-1 @ 7.89% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 3.11% 3-0 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.12%	1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.82%	0-1 @ 11.25% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 5.86% 1-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 2.04% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.11% Total : 32.04%