Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 64.37%. A draw has a probability of 21.5% and a win for Alaves has a probability of 14.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Alaves win it is 0-1 (5.39%).