La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 2-2 Atletico
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Alaves
Alaves will certainly have had longer to prepare for this match, but it is so difficult to back them to pick up a positive result. Atletico's recent form in La Liga is excellent, and we are expecting the capital side to secure another three points in Sunday's contest at Wanda Metropolitano. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Alaves |
56.1% ( -0.23) | 24.82% ( 0.13) | 19.08% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 45% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
