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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 24, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid logo

Atletico
3 - 1
Real Madrid

Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Alvaro Morata nets twice against his former club as Atletico Madrid record a 3-1 win over Real Madrid in Sunday's Madrid derby at Wanda Metropolitano.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Atletico Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-1 Atletico
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-0 Union Berlin
Wednesday, September 20 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
38.84% (0.714 0.71) 25.66% (0.177 0.18) 35.5% (-0.892 -0.89)
Both teams to score 55.31% (-0.699 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.24% (-0.86 -0.86)48.75% (0.858 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.14% (-0.786 -0.79)70.86% (0.785 0.78)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)24.69% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)59.22% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.91800000000001 -0.92)26.55% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (-1.234 -1.23)61.76% (1.233 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 38.84%
    Real Madrid 35.5%
    Draw 25.66%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Madrid
1-0 @ 9.17% (0.318 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.41% (0.22 0.22)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.035 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.63% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.84%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 6.56% (0.228 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.69% (0.081 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-2 @ 5.76% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.157 -0.16)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 35.5%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
15.9%
Draw
23.8%
Real Madrid
60.3%
214
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Atletico
Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')
Morata (19')
Sep 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
1-2
Real Madrid
Hermoso (83')
Rodrygo (18'), Valverde (36')
May 8, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
Atletico
1-0
Real Madrid
Carrasco (40' pen.)
Llorente (37'), Savic (63')

Jovic (20'), Vazquez (28'), Vallejo (38'), Ancelotti (67'), Nacho (71')
Dec 12, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
2-0
Atletico
Benzema (16'), Asensio (57')
Mendy (45+1'), Alaba (88')

Felipe (36'), Kondogbia (75'), Suarez (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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