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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 7
Atletico


Isi (39'), Lejeune (65'), Espino (81'), Balliu (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Griezmann (2'), Depay (16'), Molina (36'), Morata (73', 84'), Correa (79'), Llorente (86')
Barrios (49'), Griezmann (75'), Hermoso (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, August 21 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Numancia 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, August 24 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

 This is a very tough match to call, and it would not be a surprise to see a home win on Monday. Rayo can be unpredictable despite their strong start, though, and we are backing Atletico to navigate their way to all three points in what should be an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
29% (1.049 1.05) 26.47% (0.178 0.18) 44.52% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 50.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (-0.167 -0.17)54.01% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55% (-0.14 -0.14)75.44% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.72199999999999 0.72)33.51% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.782 0.78)70.15% (-0.78399999999999 -0.78)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.664 -0.66)24.14% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.952 -0.95)58.45% (0.95 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 29%
    Atletico Madrid 44.52%
    Draw 26.47%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.229 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 44.52%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
16.6%
Draw
12.4%
Atletico Madrid
71.0%
145
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Atletico
Garcia (85')
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')
> Preview
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Morata (20')
Falcao (90+2' pen.)
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
> Preview
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
> Preview
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico
Griezmann (74')
Gimenez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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