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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Atletico Madrid logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 7
Atletico


Isi (39'), Lejeune (65'), Espino (81'), Balliu (88')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Griezmann (2'), Depay (16'), Molina (36'), Morata (73', 84'), Correa (79'), Llorente (86')
Barrios (49'), Griezmann (75'), Hermoso (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Numancia 0-2 Atletico
Thursday, August 24 at 6.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Atletico Madrid

This is a very tough match to call, and it would not be a surprise to see a home win on Monday. Rayo can be unpredictable despite their strong start, though, and we are backing Atletico to navigate their way to all three points in what should be an entertaining contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (8.17%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
29% (1.049 1.05) 26.47% (0.178 0.18) 44.52% (-1.229 -1.23)
Both teams to score 50.44% (0.112 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.99% (-0.167 -0.17)54.01% (0.164 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.55% (-0.14 -0.14)75.44% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.49% (0.72199999999999 0.72)33.51% (-0.724 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.85% (0.782 0.78)70.15% (-0.78399999999999 -0.78)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.86% (-0.664 -0.66)24.14% (0.663 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.55% (-0.952 -0.95)58.45% (0.95 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 29%
    Atletico Madrid 44.52%
    Draw 26.47%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.229 0.23)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.18 0.18)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.217 0.22)
3-1 @ 2.51% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.047 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.09% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.47%
0-1 @ 11.49% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.17% (-0.269 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 3.87% (-0.205 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 44.52%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Atletico

Rayo Vallecano
16.6%
Draw
12.4%
Atletico Madrid
71.0%
145
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Atletico
Garcia (85')
Molina (22'), Hermoso (24')
Oct 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 10
Atletico
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Morata (20')
Falcao (90+2' pen.)
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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