La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Morata (20')
Savic (47'), Niguez (88'), Gimenez (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Falcao (90+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-1 Atletico
Saturday, October 15 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo drew at Barcelona earlier this season and are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this match, but it is always difficult to back against Atletico at Wanda Metropolitano, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to secure all three points courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
63.39% ( 0.94)	22.22% ( -0.43)	14.4% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 43.24% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7% (

0.69)

53.3% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15% (

0.58)

74.85% (

-0.58)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.73% (

0.56)

16.27% (

-0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.18% (

1.01)

45.82% (

-1.01)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.64% (

-0.34)

48.36% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.51% (

-0.25)

83.5% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 63.38%

Rayo Vallecano 14.4%

Draw 22.22%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.28% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 12.97% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.59% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.75% Total : 63.38%	1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.22%	0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.92% Total : 14.4%