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La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Girona logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Girona

Correa (5', 48')
Gimenez (45+1'), Cunha (49'), Savic (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Riquelme (66')
Hernandez (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 2-0 Atletico
Tuesday, October 4 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Girona 3-5 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-2 Girona

With a porous Atletico Madrid the favourites here, against a fearless Girona side, we expect to see goals at both ends in what promises to be another exciting tie. The quality of the home side should ultimately shine through, however, as they aim to make up for their midweek defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
58.42% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 23.73% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 17.84% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.52% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)75.04%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)18.09% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)49.03% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)43.87% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.98% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)80.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 58.42%
    Girona 17.84%
    Draw 23.73%
Atletico MadridDrawGirona
1-0 @ 13.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56%
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.42%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 3.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.69% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.84%

How you voted: Atletico vs Girona

Atletico Madrid
88.2%
Draw
10.6%
Girona
1.2%
85
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2019 6.30pm
Jan 16, 2019 6.30pm
Atletico
3-3
Girona
Kalinic (12'), Correa (66'), Griezmann (84')
Hernandez (69'), Griezmann (85')
Fernandez (37'), Stuani (59'), Doumbia (88')
Iraizoz (90'), Porro (90')
Jan 9, 2019 6.30pm
Dec 2, 2018 3.15pm
Girona
1-1
Atletico
Stuani (45' pen.)
Ramalho (82' og.)
Griezmann (17'), Koke (41'), Partey (72'), Costa (89'), Niguez (89')
Jan 20, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
1-1
Girona
Griezmann (34')
Partey (45'), Vrsaljko (66'), Gimenez (82'), Oblak (90')
Portu (73')
Juanpe (31'), Aday (37'), Espinosa (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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