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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Real Sociedad logo

Atletico
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad

 Atletico are again expected to be missing a number of important players, but it is difficult to back them to lose at the moment, especially at home. Real Sociedad would be in a strong position to finish in the top four with a point on Sunday, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
58.66% (-0.399 -0.4) 24.03% (0.205 0.2) 17.3% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 44.19% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-0.475 -0.48)55.38% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-0.39 -0.39)76.59% (0.39 0.39)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.3% (-0.325 -0.33)18.7% (0.325 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.95% (-0.548 -0.55)50.05% (0.549 0.55)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)45.64% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (-0.028000000000002 -0.03)81.44% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 58.66%
    Real Sociedad 17.3%
    Draw 24.03%
Atletico MadridDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 14.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.99% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.26% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 58.66%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.53% (0.155 0.16)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.69% (0.115 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.4% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.15% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 17.3%

How you voted: Atletico vs Real Sociedad

Atletico Madrid
65.0%
Draw
17.5%
Real Sociedad
17.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
May 22, 2022 9pm
gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Round of 16
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
gameweek 10
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
gameweek 36
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Carrasco (16'), Correa (28')
Zubeldia (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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