La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga
We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad
Atletico are again expected to be missing a number of important players, but it is difficult to back them to lose at the moment, especially at home. Real Sociedad would be in a strong position to finish in the top four with a point on Sunday, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
58.66% ( -0.4) | 24.03% ( 0.2) | 17.3% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.19% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.61% ( -0.48) | 55.38% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.41% ( -0.39) | 76.59% ( 0.39) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.3% ( -0.33) | 18.7% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.55) | 50.05% ( 0.55) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.36% ( -0.04) | 45.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.56% ( -0.03) | 81.44% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 58.66%
Real Sociedad 17.3%
Draw 24.03%
| Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.3% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
65.0%Draw
17.5%Real Sociedad
17.5%40
Form Guide
