La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 14, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
1 - 0
Atletico

Fidel (41')
Fidel (30'), Blanco (36')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Elche
Tuesday, May 2 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 5-1 Cadiz
Wednesday, May 3 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Elche 0-3 Atletico Madrid

Atletico have arguably been the best La Liga team since the turn of the year, and they will be looking to finish the season strongly with a view to claiming second. Elche are now playing under no pressure, which should help them, but we are struggling to predict anything other than a comfortable away success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.3% ( 0.09)	21.94% ( 0.21)	59.76% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 52.18% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.36% (

-0.77)

45.64% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.04% (

-0.73)

67.96% (

0.73)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.3% (

-0.35)

38.7% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.56% (

-0.33)

75.44% (

0.33)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.13% (

-0.35)

14.87% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.79% (

-0.67)

43.21% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Elche 18.3%

Atletico Madrid 59.75%

Draw 21.94%

Elche	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 18.3%	1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.94%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 10.45% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 6.3% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 3.16% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.75%