Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Elche |
54.12% ( -0.3) | 24.54% ( 0.04) | 21.34% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 49.03% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.7% ( 0.11) | 52.3% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% ( 0.1) | 74% ( -0.09) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( -0.07) | 19.26% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( -0.12) | 50.98% ( 0.12) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.72% ( 0.32) | 39.28% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.02% ( 0.3) | 75.98% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 12.45% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |