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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Elche

Osasuna
2 - 1
Elche

Ezzalzouli (71', 84')
Oroz (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morente (44')
Boye (45+3'), Fidel (49'), Palacios (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Osasuna
Tuesday, April 4 at 8.10pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Elche 0-4 Barcelona
Saturday, April 1 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 2-1 Elche

Elche won at Mallorca last month, so it would not be a complete shock to see the visitors triumph here, but we are finding it difficult to back an away success. Osasuna will be full of confidence following their Copa del Rey triumph and should be able to claim all three points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.

Result
OsasunaDrawElche
54.12% (-0.295 -0.3) 24.54% (0.044 0.04) 21.34% (0.253 0.25)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.22 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.7% (0.114 0.11)52.3% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26% (0.097000000000001 0.1)74% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)19.26% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-0.118 -0.12)50.98% (0.119 0.12)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.72% (0.324 0.32)39.28% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.02% (0.301 0.3)75.98% (-0.30000000000001 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 54.11%
    Elche 21.34%
    Draw 24.53%
OsasunaDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 10.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.64% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.11%
1-1 @ 11.64% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.48% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.07% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.3% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.033 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.4% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Elche

Osasuna
60.0%
Draw
25.7%
Elche
14.3%
35
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 3.15pm
May 1, 2022 1pm
Elche
1-1
Osasuna
Milla (84')
Fidel (36'), Roco (41'), Mascarell (43'), Carrillo (90')
Budimir (67' pen.)
Budimir (44'), Cruz (64')
Nov 29, 2021 8pm
Osasuna
1-1
Elche
Budimir (7' pen.)
Sanchez (90+1')
Fidel (19')
Fidel (6'), Marcone (50'), Mascarell (56')
Apr 18, 2021 1pm
Osasuna
2-0
Elche
Barja (38'), Gonzalez (68' og.)
Vidal (45'), Sanchez (48')

Boye (8')
Dec 22, 2020 4.30pm
Elche
2-2
Osasuna
Fidel (46'), Carrillo (78')
Carrillo (84')
Garcia (10'), Brasanac (64')
Perez (73')
Perez (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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