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La Liga
Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Real Valladolid logo

Elche
1 - 1
Valladolid

Morente (90+6')
Gumbau (20'), Morente (71'), Milla (90+6'), Mascarell (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Larin (4')
Plano (72'), Mesa (90+5'), Hongla (90+11'), Larin (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions
Last Game: Mallorca 0-1 Elche
Saturday, March 4 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Espanyol
Sunday, March 5 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 1-1 Real Valladolid

 Elche were excellent against Mallorca last time out and will therefore enter this match full of confidence. Real Valladolid were also impressive against Espanyol, though, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here, ultimately backing a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (10.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
ElcheDrawReal Valladolid
36.62% (-0.058 -0.06) 26.97% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 36.41% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.01% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)54.25% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)75.65% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)28.52% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.7% (-0.073 -0.07)64.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.36% (0.0039999999999907 0)28.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)64.45% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Elche 36.61%
    Real Valladolid 36.41%
    Draw 26.97%
ElcheDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 36.61%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 10.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.34% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 36.41%

How you voted: Elche vs Valladolid

Elche
24.1%
Draw
36.2%
Real Valladolid
39.7%
58
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3.15pm
Valladolid
2-1
Elche
Sanchez (40'), Mesa (46')
Sanchez (45')
Josan (63')
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Elche
1-1
Valladolid
Fidel (22')
Milla (26'), Marcone (37'), Calvo (72'), Gonzalo (84'), Rigoni (90+2')
Olaza (86')
Kodro (12'), Fernandez (52'), Janko (67')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Michel (71'), Fernandez (89')
Fede (39')
Mesa (90+1')
Josan (9', 43')
Josema (51'), Cifu (85'), Milla (90+4')
Dec 18, 2014 7pm
Round Four
Elche
1-0
Valladolid
Gonzalez (7')
Herrera (36'), Pelegrín (59'), Roco (76'), Suarez (87'), Tyton (90')

Sastre (36'), Timor (82'), Ramos (90'), Carmona (90')
Timor (90')
> Match Report
Dec 2, 2014 9pm
Round Four
Valladolid
0-0
Elche

Ramos (71')

Suarez (68')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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