La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
3 - 1
Villarreal

Milla (3', 45+3' pen., 52' pen.)
Palacios (20'), Angel Carmona (25'), Mascarell (37'), Fidel (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Moreno (22')
Baena (59'), Cuenca (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Elche
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, January 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche will not go the whole season without winning a match, but we are finding it very difficult to back the home side to pick up a positive result here. Villarreal need to put a victory on the board to stay in touch with the top four, and we are fully expecting the visitors to secure all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Villarreal
26.02% ( 0.13)	25.27% ( 0.16)	48.71% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.98% (

-0.55)

51.02% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

-0.48)

72.88% (

0.49)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.72% (

-0.18)

34.28% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.02% (

-0.2)

70.99% (

0.21)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.34)

20.96% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

-0.54)

53.71% (

0.55)

Score Analysis

Elche 26.02%

Villarreal 48.71%

Draw 25.27%

Elche	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.02%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.27%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.71%