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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Villarreal logo

Elche
3 - 1
Villarreal

Milla (3', 45+3' pen., 52' pen.)
Palacios (20'), Angel Carmona (25'), Mascarell (37'), Fidel (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (22')
Baena (59'), Cuenca (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Elche
Saturday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-2 Villarreal

Elche will not go the whole season without winning a match, but we are finding it very difficult to back the home side to pick up a positive result here. Villarreal need to put a victory on the board to stay in touch with the top four, and we are fully expecting the visitors to secure all three points in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawVillarreal
26.02% (0.131 0.13) 25.27% (0.161 0.16) 48.71% (-0.286 -0.29)
Both teams to score 51.95% (-0.373 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.98% (-0.55 -0.55)51.02% (0.555 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (-0.483 -0.48)72.88% (0.491 0.49)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.72% (-0.184 -0.18)34.28% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.02% (-0.198 -0.2)70.99% (0.206 0.21)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.342 -0.34)20.96% (0.348 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (-0.542 -0.54)53.71% (0.54900000000001 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.02%
    Villarreal 48.71%
    Draw 25.27%
ElcheDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 7.69% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.12% (0.049 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.02%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.19% (0.159 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.03% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 11.22% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 9.39% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.79% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.71%

How you voted: Elche vs Villarreal

Elche
10.3%
Draw
12.1%
Villarreal
77.6%
58
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 16, 2022 1pm
Elche
1-0
Villarreal
Boye (78')
Gonzalo (10'), Mojica (87'), Gonzalez (90+3'), Milla (90+4')

Parejo (81'), Capoue (90+3'), Iborra (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 9pm
Villarreal
4-1
Elche
Pino (5'), Trigueros (39'), Danjuma (60'), Moreno (90+4')
Pedraza (27')
Mojica (19')
Fidel (40'), Gonzalez (73')
Feb 6, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Villarreal
Carrillo (49'), Boye (64')
Boye (22')
Moreno (16', 35')
Pedraza (62'), Trigueros (70')
Dec 6, 2020 5.30pm
Villarreal
0-0
Elche

Parejo (64'), Albiol (75'), Coquelin (81')

Milla (23'), Fidel (67'), Almiron (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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