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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 14
Nov 8, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Girona logo

Elche
1 - 2
Girona

Lirola (16')
Josan (28'), Gumbau (70'), Gonzalez (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Martin (39'), Castellanos (66')
Toni (22'), Stuani (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Elche and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valladolid 2-1 Elche
Saturday, November 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-1 Girona

Elche are going to end their winless run at some point, but we are finding it difficult to predict that to happen on Tuesday night. Girona have been impressive in their last two matches, and we are expecting Michel's side to collect another three points in their final league fixture before the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Elche had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
ElcheDrawGirona
31.18% (-0.266 -0.27) 27.31% (-0.235 -0.23) 41.51% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 48.98% (0.593 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (0.8 0.8)56.36% (-0.80099999999999 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61% (0.64 0.64)77.38% (-0.642 -0.64)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (0.226 0.23)33.13% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (0.248 0.25)69.73% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.643 0.64)26.75% (-0.644 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.842 0.84)62.02% (-0.843 -0.84)
Score Analysis
    Elche 31.18%
    Girona 41.5%
    Draw 27.31%
ElcheDrawGirona
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 5.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.63% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.18%
1-1 @ 12.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 8.86% (-0.276 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.7% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 11.68% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.102 0.1)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.111 0.11)
0-3 @ 3.39% (0.081 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.074 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 41.5%

How you voted: Elche vs Girona

Elche
20.8%
Draw
20.2%
Girona
58.9%
168
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2020 9pm
Girona
0-1
Elche

Granell (85')
Stuani (61')
Milla (90+6')
de Jesus (22'), Sanchez (41'), Rodriguez (84'), Milla (85')
Aug 20, 2020 9pm
Jun 19, 2020 6.30pm
Elche
1-0
Girona
Escriche (47')
Badia (52'), Gil (57'), Lopez (69')

Juanpe (25'), Benitez (42'), Stuani (64'), Zeballos (78'), Saiz (90+3')
Oct 12, 2019 11am
Girona
0-2
Elche

Gumbau (39'), Soriano (83'), Benitez (84'), Saiz (94')
Sanchez (5'), Ortiz (76')
Ortiz (25'), Calvo (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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