La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 13

Nov 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
2 - 1
Elche

Sanchez (40'), Mesa (46')
Sanchez (45'), Fernandez (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Josan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 30 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 0-1 Getafe
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Valladolid 2-1 Elche

Things are becoming increasingly desperate for Elche, who have two games against recently-promoted sides to come before the World Cup break. Pacheta's side are riding a wave of home form at the moment though, and while we can see the struggling visitors scoring at the Jose Zorrilla on Saturday, we think that they will struggle to hold on for a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Elche
65.56% ( 0.06)	20.72% ( -0.05)	13.71% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.86% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.22% (

0.16)

48.77% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.12% (

0.15)

70.88% (

-0.15)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

0.07)

14.07% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.33% (

0.14)

41.67% (

-0.14)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.38% (

0.08)

46.62% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.8% (

0.06)

82.2% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 65.55%

Elche 13.71%

Draw 20.72%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Elche
1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 65.55%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 20.72%	0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.71%