La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
We said: Osasuna 1-1 Real Valladolid
Real Valladolid have only lost one of their last five league matches, while four of the last five La Liga fixtures between these two sides have finished level. Osasuna will be the favourites at home, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94% . A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9% .
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%) . The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result Osasuna Draw Real Valladolid 44.94% ( 0.08) 26.91% ( -0.03) 28.15% ( -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0.05)
43.93% ( 0.08) 56.07% ( -0.08)
22.85% ( 0.07) 77.15% ( -0.06)
75.15% ( 0.08) 24.85% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.55% ( 0.11) 59.45% ( -0.1)
64.73% 35.27% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 27.97% ( 0) 72.03% ( 0)
Osasuna 44.94%
Real Valladolid 28.15%
Draw 26.9%
Osasuna Draw Real Valladolid 1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.94% 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.9% 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.15%
How you voted: Osasuna vs Valladolid
Osasuna
Draw
Real Valladolid
67
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-22 20:52:24
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