Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
44.94% ( 0.08) | 26.91% ( -0.03) | 28.15% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.64% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.93% ( 0.08) | 56.07% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.85% ( 0.07) | 77.15% ( -0.06) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( 0.08) | 24.85% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.55% ( 0.11) | 59.45% ( -0.1) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% | 35.27% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.97% ( 0) | 72.03% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 12.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.94% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.9% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |