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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 1pm UK
RCDE Stadium
Elche

Espanyol
2 - 2
Elche

Puado (24'), Braithwaite (67')
Souza (4'), Vidal (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Milla (11'), Gonzalo (82')
Palacios (45'), Boye (49'), Mascarell (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Espanyol
Thursday, October 20 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 19 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Espanyol 1-1 Elche

On paper, Espanyol are the stronger side here, but the situation is becoming increasingly urgent for Elche, who need a victory, and quickly, if they are to avoid being left behind. After a promising attacking performance at Mestalla, we are backing the bottom side to grind out a result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EspanyolDrawElche
61.36% (0.36799999999999 0.37) 22.85% (-0.123 -0.12) 15.79% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 44.52% (-0.156 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.072000000000003 0.07)53.3% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.061 0.06)74.85% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.155 0.16)16.96% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.94% (0.272 0.27)47.06% (-0.269 -0.27)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.61% (-0.287 -0.29)46.39% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.98% (-0.222 -0.22)82.02% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Espanyol 61.35%
    Elche 15.79%
    Draw 22.85%
EspanyolDrawElche
1-0 @ 13.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 12.38% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.32% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.025 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.25% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.5% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 61.35%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 22.85%
0-1 @ 6.04% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.12% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 2.32% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 15.79%

How you voted: Espanyol vs Elche

Espanyol
73.5%
Draw
17.6%
Elche
8.8%
68
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2022 8pm
Espanyol
1-2
Elche
De Tomas (45+3' pen.)
Bare (22'), Pedrosa (30'), de Tomas (88'), Merida (90+1')
Milla (6', 14')
Palacios (36'), Gonzalo (45+1'), Mojica (49'), Gumbau (77'), Milla (83'), Roco (90')
Oct 23, 2021 5.30pm
Elche
2-2
Espanyol
Boye (23'), Benedetto (84')
Gonzalo (34'), Palacios (86'), Bigas (90+4')
Morlanes (51'), De Tomas (52')
Lopez (74')
Apr 6, 2015 7pm
Espanyol
1-1
Elche
Garcia (17')
Sevilla (26'), Moreno (46'), Fuentes (65')
Herrera (77')
Gonzalez (33'), Mosquera (73'), Angel (75')
Nov 2, 2014 8pm
Elche
2-1
Espanyol
Jonathas (19', 53')
Pasalic (15'), Rodrigues (61'), Jonathas (84')
Rodrigues (75'), Cisma (85')
Stuani (85' pen.)
Soberon Alvaro (46')
Mar 9, 2014 11am
Espanyol
3-1
Elche
Lopez (2'), Colotto (21'), Pizzi (59')
Fuentes (87')
Fuentes (89' og.)
Herrera (39'), del Moral (42'), Lomban (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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