We said: Espanyol 1-1 Elche
On paper, Espanyol are the stronger side here, but the situation is becoming increasingly urgent for Elche, who need a victory, and quickly, if they are to avoid being left behind.
After a promising attacking performance at Mestalla, we are backing the bottom side to grind out a result here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 15.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.38%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.