We said: Elche 1-1 Celta Vigo
Celta have drawn three of their last five in La Liga, while they are without a victory since the start of October. Elche are yet to triumph this season, but we have a feeling that the home side will be good enough for a point on Friday night, which would certainly be a step in the right direction.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match.