La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Jan 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
0 - 1
Celta Vigo

Gonzalez (53'), Boye (64'), Milla (81')
Bigas (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aspas (5')
Paciencia (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Elche and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Ceuta 1-0 Elche
Tuesday, January 3 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta Vigo

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Celta have drawn three of their last five in La Liga, while they are without a victory since the start of October. Elche are yet to triumph this season, but we have a feeling that the home side will be good enough for a point on Friday night, which would certainly be a step in the right direction. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Elche had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celta Vigo in this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Celta Vigo
27.2% ( 0)	25.91% ( 0)	46.89% ( -0)

Both teams to score 50.95% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.23% (

-0.01)

52.77% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.6% (

-0.01)

74.39% (

0.01)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.74% (

-0)

34.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.04% (

-0)

70.96% (

0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.51% (

-0)

22.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.96% (

-0.01)

56.04% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Elche 27.2%

Celta Vigo 46.89%

Draw 25.9%

Elche	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.2%	1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.7% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.9%	0-1 @ 11.49% 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.58% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.27% 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 46.89%