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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Dec 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Elche

Atletico
2 - 0
Elche

Felix (56'), Morata (74')
Hermoso (50'), Barrios (76')
Hermoso (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marti (48'), Collado (80'), Quina (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arenteiro 1-3 Atletico
Thursday, December 22 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Guadalajara 0-3 Elche
Tuesday, December 20 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Elche

Atletico have had their issues this season, and they lost to both Cadiz and Mallorca ahead of the break for the World Cup. Elche have really struggled during the 2022-23 campaign, though, and we are finding it difficult to predict anything other than a comfortable home success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.15%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.61%) and 3-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawElche
73.09% (-3.105 -3.11) 17.76% (1.509 1.51) 9.15% (1.592 1.59)
Both teams to score 40.29% (2.165 2.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (-1.232 -1.23)47.92% (1.228 1.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.91% (-1.143 -1.14)70.09% (1.14 1.14)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.36% (-1.165 -1.16)11.64% (1.161 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.33% (-2.562 -2.56)36.67% (2.558 2.56)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.59% (3.008 3.01)54.41% (-3.013 -3.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.47% (1.75 1.75)87.52% (-1.754 -1.75)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 73.07%
    Elche 9.15%
    Draw 17.76%
Atletico MadridDrawElche
2-0 @ 14.64% (-0.66 -0.66)
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.5% (-1.01 -1.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.422 0.42)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.65% (-0.847 -0.85)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.43% (-0.501 -0.5)
3-2 @ 1.95% (0.173 0.17)
5-1 @ 1.48% (-0.147 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 73.07%
1-1 @ 8.29% (0.761 0.76)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.317 0.32)
2-2 @ 2.71% (0.357 0.36)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 17.76%
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.517 0.52)
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.435 0.44)
0-2 @ 1.17% (0.247 0.25)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 9.15%

How you voted: Atletico vs Elche

Atletico Madrid
86.5%
Draw
9.9%
Elche
3.6%
111
Head to Head
May 11, 2022 8.30pm
Elche
0-2
Atletico

Milla (7'), Bigas (40')
Cunha (28'), De Paul (62')
Lodi (35'), Kondogbia (90+3')
Aug 22, 2021 6.30pm
Atletico
1-0
Elche
Correa (39')
Suarez (90'), Kondogbia (90+5')

Gonzalo (65'), Benedetto (87')
May 1, 2021 3.15pm
Elche
0-1
Atletico

Milla (69'), Boye (75'), Barragan (76')
Llorente (23')
Lemar (36'), Carrasco (41')
Dec 19, 2020 1pm
Atletico
3-1
Elche
Suarez (41', 58'), Costa (80' pen.)
Hermoso (40')
Boye (64')
Gonzalo (14'), Marcone (79'), Almiron (86')
Nov 29, 2017 8.30pm
Fourth Round
Atletico
3-0
Elche
Gimenez (31'), Torres (33', 68')
Carrasco (87')

Gonzalo (22'), Albacar (53'), Lolo (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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