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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 29, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
3 - 2
Atletico

Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Fede (65'), Chust (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Kondogbia (62'), Niguez (78'), Cunha (90'), Felix (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Cadiz are a very difficult side to back at the moment due to their struggles, and it is perhaps the worst time to play Atletico, who will be desperate to overcome their European disappointment. We are not expecting a game full of goals but believe that the visitors will have more than enough to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
16.77% (-0.064 -0.06) 23.5% (-0.067 -0.07) 59.73% (0.135 0.13)
Both teams to score 44.65% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (0.15 0.15)54.22% (-0.14599999999999 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.125 0.13)75.62% (-0.121 -0.12)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)81.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.13% (0.104 0.1)17.87% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.35% (0.177 0.18)48.65% (-0.174 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 16.77%
    Atletico Madrid 59.73%
    Draw 23.5%
CadizDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 4.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 2.51% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 16.77%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.16% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.72% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.5%
0-1 @ 14.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.94% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.44% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.99% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.34% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.73%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
14.3%
Draw
6.1%
Atletico Madrid
79.6%
98
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2022 8pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Gimenez (87')
Cala (21'), Gil (45+1'), Fali (45+1')
Morata (13'), Niguez (45'), Wass (46'), Griezmann (51')
Griezmann (56')
Mar 11, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-1
Cadiz
Felix (3'), De Paul (68')
De Paul (30'), Carrasco (35'), Mandava (41'), Simeone (41'), Savic (90+1')
Serrano (88')
Negredo (45')
Sobrino (33')
Nov 28, 2021 5.30pm
Cadiz
1-4
Atletico
Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')
Jan 31, 2021 3.15pm
Cadiz
2-4
Atletico
Negredo (35', 71')
Izquierdo (40')
Suarez (28', 50'), Niguez (44'), Koke (88')
Torreira (38'), Felix (41'), Vrsaljko (73'), Koke (76'), Kondogbia (85')
Nov 7, 2020 8pm
Atletico
4-0
Cadiz
Felix (8', 90'), Llorente (22'), Suarez (51')
Kondogbia (85')

Jonsson (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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