La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Oct 29, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
3 - 2
Atletico

Bongonda (1'), Fernandez (81'), Sobrino (90+9')
Fede (65'), Chust (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hernandez (85' og.), Felix (89')
Kondogbia (62'), Niguez (78'), Cunha (90'), Felix (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 5-1 Cadiz
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-2 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Cadiz are a very difficult side to back at the moment due to their struggles, and it is perhaps the worst time to play Atletico, who will be desperate to overcome their European disappointment. We are not expecting a game full of goals but believe that the visitors will have more than enough to secure a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.09%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
16.77% ( -0.06)	23.5% ( -0.07)	59.73% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 44.65% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.78% (

0.15)

54.22% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.38% (

0.13)

75.62% (

-0.12)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.36% (

45.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.56% (

81.44% (

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.13% (

0.1)

17.87% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.35% (

0.18)

48.65% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 16.77%

Atletico Madrid 59.73%

Draw 23.5%

Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 1.43% Total : 16.77%	1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 23.5%	0-1 @ 14.04% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.94% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.73%