MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:35:52| >> :600:387108:387108:
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 26, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Leverkusen logo

Atletico
2 - 2
B. Leverkusen

Carrasco (22'), De Paul (50')
Gimenez (79'), Kondogbia (87')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Diaby (9'), Hudson-Odoi (29')
Alonso (41'), Hradecky (65'), Bakker (66'), Hincapie (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Bayer Leverkusen

We are expecting an entertaining game here, as two talented sides battle it out in an all-or-nothing clash. The visitors will be dangerous with the likes of Moussa Diaby on the break, but we think the quality of Simeone's side should be enough to seal a crucial win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawBayer Leverkusen
42.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 27.05% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07) 30.7% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.56% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (0.282 0.28)55.53% (-0.285 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (0.23 0.23)76.71% (-0.232 -0.23)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.02% (0.14399999999999 0.14)25.97% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39% (0.195 0.2)60.99% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.95% (0.17400000000001 0.17)33.05% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.36% (0.193 0.19)69.64% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 42.24%
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.7%
    Draw 27.05%
Atletico MadridDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 11.57% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.88% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.51% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.24%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.58% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 9.5% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.7%

How you voted: Atletico vs B. Leverkusen

Atletico Madrid
84.8%
Draw
10.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
5.2%
289
Head to Head
Sep 13, 2022 8pm
Group B
B. Leverkusen
2-0
Atletico
Andrich (84'), Diaby (87')
Odilon (32')
Nov 6, 2019 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 5.55pm
Mar 15, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2017 7.45pm
B. Leverkusen
2-4
Atletico
Bellarabi (48'), Savic (68' og.)
Henrichs (15'), Dragovic (58'), Wendell (64'), Aranguiz (74')
Niguez (17'), Griezmann (25'), Gameiro (58' pen.), Torres (86')
Torres (88'), Gabi (89'), Luis (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!