La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 28, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramon de Carranza

Cadiz
1 - 4
Atletico

Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Given Cadiz's struggles this term, we back the defending champions to pick up a relatively routine victory on Sunday. Atleti have been far from convincing this season, and they often leave it late to win games, but we ultimately see them getting over the line against Los Piratas. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
15.86%	22.85%	61.29%

Both teams to score 44.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.83%

53.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26%

74.74%

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.79%

46.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.12%

81.88%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06%

16.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.98%

47.02%

Score Analysis

Cadiz 15.86%

Atletico Madrid 61.28%

Draw 22.85%

Cadiz	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.04% 2-1 @ 4.14% 2-0 @ 2.33% 3-1 @ 1.07% 3-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.86%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.85%	0-1 @ 13.89% 0-2 @ 12.33% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.64% 0-4 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-5 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.56% Total : 61.28%