MX23RW : Friday, November 8 12:25:52| >> :120:5592:5592:
[monks data]
Cadiz logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
Atletico Madrid logo

Cadiz
1 - 4
Atletico

Oblak (86' og.)
Fernandez (24'), Jonsson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lemar (56'), Griezmann (70'), Correa (76'), Cunha (86')

Preview: Cadiz vs. Atletico Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Defending champions Atletico Madrid will look to improve their position at the top end of the La Liga table on Sunday, when they make the trip to take on Cadiz.

Diego Simeone's men suffered a harmful defeat to AC Milan in the Champions League last time out, but they made a return to winning ways in their most recent league game, while the hosts were thrashed by fellow strugglers Getafe on Sunday.


Match preview

Atletico Madrid coach Diego Simeone reacts on November 24, 20212© Reuters

After impressively avoiding the drop last season following their promotion, Cadiz have had a tough start to the new campaign, and they sat in the relegation zone with just seven points from their opening 10 games.

Alvaro Cervera's side then somewhat corrected their form, stopping a losing run from growing by drawing 3-3 with Europa League champions Villarreal, albeit having been pegged back in the dying minutes, before Alvaro Negredo salvaged a point with a 93rd-minute penalty against Mallorca.

Los Piratas then posted a crucial victory heading into the recent international break, as they held on to defeat Athletic Bilbao 1-0 away from home after Salvi Sanchez's fifth-minute goal.

They were unable to build on that upon their return to action last time out though, as 19th-placed Getafe handed Cervera's men a 4-0 thrashing with Mathias Olivera, Jorge Cuenca, Enes Unal and Jaime Mata all helping themselves to goals against a helpless Cadiz outfit.

That has left the Piratas in 16th spot, and they now lead the relegation zone by just one point, while they face a particularly tough task in their bid to climb away from the bottom three as Atleti make the trip.

Cadiz's Ruben Sobrino receive instructions from Cadiz coach Alvaro Cervera in February 2021© Reuters

While Diego Simeone's men have lost just one La Liga game so far this season, they have been unable to dominate the league from the outset like they did last season, currently sitting in fourth spot with 26 points from their opening 13 outings.

After the disappointment of being pegged back to a 3-3 draw by Valencia, with Hugo Duro netting two goals in injury time, Los Colchoneros made a crucial return to winning ways upon the return from the recent break, as defender Felipe headed in the only goal in the 87th minute in a 1-0 victory over Osasuna.

That was followed by a disappointing 1-0 defeat to AC Milan in the Champions League group stage on Wednesday, with an 87th-minute Junior Messias winner proving the difference, leaving the Madrid outfit in a precarious position on just four points heading into the final group game.

Nonetheless, Simeone's men will turn their attention back to domestic action, as they look to post consecutive La Liga wins for the first time since August.

With city rivals Real Madrid now sitting four points clear of Los Colchoneros at the summit of the table, Atleti will know there is little room for error if they are to remain in a strong position in their defence of the league title.

Cadiz La Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L

Atletico Madrid La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W

Atletico Madrid form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Atletico Madrid's Antoine Griezmann celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on October 19, 2021© Reuters

Cadiz again have several injury issues to deal with, as Tomas Alarcon, Jose Mari and Jon Ander Garrido are all condemned to the treatment room, while Martin Calderon is a doubt.

After the disappointing defeat last time out, Cervera may look to make several changes, with Anthony Lozano expected to come back into the attacking line, supporting Ruben Sobrino and former Manchester City forward Alvaro Negredo, and Alvaro Bastida potentially replacing the injured Alarcon.

Atletico Madrid forward Joao Felix recently suffered another slight injury setback, and he will continue a spell on the sidelines alongside full-back Kieran Tripper, although the rest of Simeone's concerns have recently been eased.

Luis Suarez was fit to return to the starting XI last time out, and he will again lead the line with the likes of Antoine Griezmann, Thomas Lemar and Angel Correa battling to start alongside the Uruguayan star.

Felipe should return to the side after serving a Champions League suspension against AC Milan, and Simeone should again deploy him alongside Jose Gimenez and Stefan Savic at the back, with Marcos Llorente and Yannick Carrasco set to feature in wing-back roles.

Cadiz possible starting lineup:
Ledesma; Carcelen, Haroyan, Cala, Espino; Sanchez, Fernandez, Bastida, Lozano; Sobrino, Negredo

Atletico Madrid possible starting lineup:
Oblak; Gimenez, Savic, Felipe; Llorente, Koke, De Paul, Carrasco; Correa, Suarez, Griezmann


SM words green background

We say: Cadiz 0-2 Atletico Madrid

Given Cadiz's struggles this term, we back the defending champions to pick up a relatively routine victory on Sunday.

Atleti have been far from convincing this season, and they often leave it late to win games, but we ultimately see them getting over the line against Los Piratas.


ID:471181:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10980:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.33%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Cadiz vs Atletico

Cadiz
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Atletico Madrid
75.0%
96
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Atletico Madrid defender Kieran Trippier pictured in December 2020
Read Next:
Man United considering Kieran Trippier bid?
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!