Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 51.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
51.69% ( 0.05) | 27.05% ( 0.04) | 21.26% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.19% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.76% ( -0.21) | 61.24% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.83% ( -0.16) | 81.17% ( 0.16) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% ( -0.07) | 23.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.82% ( -0.1) | 58.18% ( 0.1) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.48% ( -0.22) | 44.52% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.45% ( -0.18) | 80.55% ( 0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 15.23% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 12.33% 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |