Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 1, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Atletico

Taremi (5'), Eustaquio (24')
Grujic (39'), Cardoso (69')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Marcano (90+4' og.)
Mandava (42'), Savic (48'), De Paul (68')

The Match

Match Report

Atletico Madrid are knocked out of Europe entirely as Porto secure top spot in Champions League Group B with a 2-1 victory over Diego Simeone's side at the Estadio do Dragao.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Santa Clara 1-1 Porto
Saturday, October 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Cadiz 3-2 Atletico
Saturday, October 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.11%) and 3-2 (4.96%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Atletico Madrid
41.39% ( 0.05)	20.75% ( -0.03)	37.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 74.44% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.82% (

0.15)

24.18% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.16% (

0.2)

43.84% (

-0.2)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

0.08)

13.09% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.29% (

0.16)

39.71% (

-0.16)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

0.06)

14.34% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.8% (

0.11)

42.2% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Porto 41.39%

Atletico Madrid 37.86%

Draw 20.75%

Porto	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.29% Total : 41.39%	1-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 7.32% 3-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 20.75%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 37.86%