MX23RW : Friday, September 20 22:54:19| >> :120:19450:19450:
Porto
Champions League | Group Stage
Sep 13, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Club Brugge

Porto
0 - 4
Brugge


Mario (15'), Carmo (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jutlga Blanc (15' pen.), Sowah (47'), Skov Olsen (52'), Nusa (89')
Onyedika (19'), Odoi (27'), Nielsen (45+1'), Sylla (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Porto and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Chaves
Saturday, September 10 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: RFC Seraing 0-2 Brugge
Saturday, September 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Porto 2-1 Club Brugge

Brugge have the capabilities to push Porto all of the way on Tuesday, but we expect the hosts to get the job done with a marginal victory. Both teams are missing a couple of key players but it should still be an interesting game nonetheless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 55.62%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 22.21% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawClub Brugge
55.62% (-0.107 -0.11) 22.18% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 22.21% (0.081 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.75% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.69% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.3% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)63.7% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)14.74% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.03% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)42.97% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.74% (0.061999999999998 0.06)32.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.24% (0.069999999999997 0.07)68.76% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Porto 55.62%
    Club Brugge 22.21%
    Draw 22.18%
PortoDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56%
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.02% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 55.62%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.21%

How you voted: Porto vs Brugge

Porto
76.4%
Draw
10.3%
Club Brugge
13.2%
348
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2016 7.45pm
Group G
Porto
1-0
Brugge
Silva (37')
Herrera (3'), Felipe (35')

Denswil (34'), Diaby (41'), Vormer (86'), Claudemir (88')
Oct 18, 2016 7.45pm
Group G
Brugge
1-2
Porto
Vossen (12')
Limbombe (43'), Simons (83')
Layun (68'), Silva (91' pen.)
Layun (41')
rhs 2.0
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