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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Maritimo

Porto
5 - 1
Maritimo

Taremi (12', 42'), Evanilson (40'), Marcano (68'), Martinez (76')
Uribe (28'), Marcano (35'), Galeno (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Winck (88')
Joel (28'), Teles (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
    Last Game: Porto 3-0 Tondela
    Saturday, July 30 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

    Maritimo

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Maritimo 0-1 Portimonense
      Saturday, May 14 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

      We said: Porto 3-0 Maritimo

       Porto will be keen to start the season on the front foot, and they have the quality to comfortably see off Seabra's men on home turf. The Dragoes excelled at both ends of the pitch last term, and they should outclass Maritimo in the season curtain-raiser. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.96%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.28%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

      Result
      PortoDrawMaritimo
      79.56% (0.066999999999993 0.07) 13.47% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03) 6.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
      Both teams to score 45.04% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      64.29% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      42.22% (0.00099999999999767 0)57.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
      Porto Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      92.92% (0.012 0.01)7.07% (-0.016100000000001 -0.02)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      74.19% (0.038000000000011 0.04)25.81% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
      Maritimo Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      48.47% (-0.107 -0.11)51.52% (0.102 0.1)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      14.3% (-0.07 -0.07)85.69% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
      Score Analysis
          Porto 79.55%
          Maritimo 6.96%
          Draw 13.47%
      PortoDrawMaritimo
      2-0 @ 12.78% (0.02 0.02)
      3-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
      1-0 @ 9.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
      2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
      3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      4-0 @ 7.48% (0.023 0.02)
      4-1 @ 4.96%
      5-0 @ 3.96% (0.016 0.02)
      5-1 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
      3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
      6-0 @ 1.75% (0.008 0.01)
      4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
      6-1 @ 1.16% (0.002 0)
      Other @ 3.82%
      Total : 79.55%
      		1-1 @ 6.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 3.65%
      2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.013 -0.01)
      Other @ 0.61%
      Total : 13.47%
      		0-1 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
      1-2 @ 2.12% (-0.012 -0.01)
      Other @ 2.42%
      Total : 6.96%

      How you voted: Porto vs Maritimo

      Porto
      97.2%
      Draw
      2.8%
      Maritimo
      0.0%
      36
      Head to Head
      Jan 30, 2022 8.30pm
      Porto
      2-1
      Maritimo
      Evanilson (18'), Pepe (48')
      Otavio (45'), Wendell (69'), Mario (78'), Grujic (79')
      Costa (53')
      Vidigal (31'), Costa (43'), Costa (51'), Winck (57'), Guitane (82')
      Aug 22, 2021 6pm
      Maritimo
      1-1
      Porto
      Xadas (45+4')
      Costa (14'), de Mello Costa (59'), Pelagio (67'), Winck (90+1')
      Diaz (35')
      Taremi (62')
      Feb 22, 2021 7pm
      Maritimo
      1-2
      Porto
      Andrade (18')
      Hermes (32'), Joel (69'), Pelagio (71'), Jean (86'), Abedzadeh (87'), Junior (90+4')
      Uribe (14'), Otavio (90+3' pen.)
      Manafa (32'), Marchesin (83')
      Oct 3, 2020 6.30pm
      Porto
      2-3
      Maritimo
      Pepe (42'), Otavio (90+9')
      Mbemba (52'), Pepe (82')
      Pinho (24', 52'), Nanu (90+4')
      Pinho (45+2'), Kibe (73'), Costa (87'), Pelagio (90+5')
      Jun 10, 2020 9.30pm
      Porto
      1-0
      Maritimo
      Corona (6')
      Manafa (57'), Telles (61'), Uribe (90+4')
      Telles (85')

      Moreno (19'), Bebeto (36'), Milson (78')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
      2Porto6501123915
      3Benfica6411124813
      4Santa ClaraSanta Clara6402108212
      5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes640265112
      6FamalicaoFamalicao632183511
      7Braga632184411
      8MoreirenseMoreirense622289-18
      9Gil Vicente614167-17
      10Casa Pia621358-37
      11Rio AveRio Ave621358-37
      12AVS6213610-47
      13AroucaArouca620438-56
      14Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
      15BoavistaBoavista612337-45
      16Nacional6114412-84
      17Estrela Amadora602439-62
      18SC FarenseFarense6006213-110
      > Primeira Liga Full Table


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