FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park
Guiseley1 - 0Scunthorpe
Lawlor (21')
Mbeka (68')
Mbeka (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and Scunthorpe United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guiseley 3-0 1874 Northwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
14
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 13.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Guiseley win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guiseley | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
13.3% ( -0.95) | 18.25% ( -0.44) | 68.45% ( 1.4) |
| Both teams to score 52.97% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.27% ( -0.15) | 38.73% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.96% ( -0.15) | 61.04% ( 0.15) |
| Guiseley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.06% ( -1.47) | 40.93% ( 1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.5% ( -1.34) | 77.5% ( 1.34) |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( 0.31) | 10.31% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.25% ( 0.7) | 33.74% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
Guiseley 13.3%
Scunthorpe United 68.44%
Draw 18.25%
| Guiseley | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 2-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.59% Total : 13.3% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.25% | 0-2 @ 10.89% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 8.25% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 7.37% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.27)1-4 @ 4.18% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.11)0-5 @ 2.13% ( 0.15)1-5 @ 1.9% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.56% Total : 68.44% |
Form Guide
