MX23RW : Thursday, March 13 12:23:01| >> :600:125995:125995:
FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying
Sep 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park
Scunthorpe United

Guiseley
1 - 0
Scunthorpe

Lawlor (21')
Mbeka (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and Scunthorpe United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guiseley 3-0 1874 Northwich
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 68.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Guiseley had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Guiseley win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
GuiseleyDrawScunthorpe United
13.3% (-0.952 -0.95) 18.25% (-0.442 -0.44) 68.45% (1.396 1.4)
Both teams to score 52.97% (-1.127 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.27% (-0.147 -0.15)38.73% (0.148 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.96% (-0.153 -0.15)61.04% (0.154 0.15)
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.06% (-1.466 -1.47)40.93% (1.466 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.5% (-1.338 -1.34)77.5% (1.339 1.34)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.68% (0.31 0.31)10.31% (-0.311 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.25% (0.7 0.7)33.74% (-0.7 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Guiseley 13.3%
    Scunthorpe United 68.44%
    Draw 18.25%
GuiseleyDrawScunthorpe United
2-1 @ 3.83% (-0.237 -0.24)
1-0 @ 3.77% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-0 @ 1.68% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-1 @ 1.14% (-0.12 -0.12)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 13.3%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.209 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.22% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.25%
0-2 @ 10.89% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.73% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-1 @ 9.59% (0.19 0.19)
0-3 @ 8.25% (0.373 0.37)
1-3 @ 7.37% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 4.68% (0.27 0.27)
1-4 @ 4.18% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 3.29% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-5 @ 2.13% (0.149 0.15)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.061 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 68.44%

rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal281510352242855
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest28156745331251
4Chelsea28147753361749
5Manchester CityMan City28145953381547
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton28121064640646
8Aston Villa2912984145-445
9Bournemouth28128847341344
10Fulham2811984138342
11Crystal Palace2810993633339
12Brentford28115124844438
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs281041455411434
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd2897123440-634
15Everton2871293135-433
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2896133248-1633
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2865173857-1923
18Ipswich TownIpswich2838172658-3217
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20Southampton2823232068-489


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