FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park
Guiseley3 - 0Ashton United
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and Ashton United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guiseley 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Ashton United 2-0 Halifax
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 3
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashton United win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Guiseley had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashton United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.19%) and 1-3 (4.95%). The likeliest Guiseley win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guiseley | Draw | Ashton United |
37.48% ( -0.02) | 22.08% ( -0) | 40.44% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 69% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.89% ( 0.02) | 31.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.49% ( 0.03) | 52.51% ( -0.02) |
| Guiseley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( 0) | 17.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.92% | 48.08% ( 0.01) |
| Ashton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0.02) | 16.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.1% ( 0.04) | 45.9% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Guiseley 37.48%
Ashton United 40.44%
Draw 22.08%
| Guiseley | Draw | Ashton United |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.98% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.13% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 8.19% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 40.44% |
