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FA Cup
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Nethermoor Park

Guiseley
3 - 0
1874 Northwich

Longbottom (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Guiseley and 1874 Northwich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guiseley

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Guiseley 3-0 Ashton United
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

1874 Northwich

All competitions
Last Game: 1874 Northwich 3-2 Stocksbridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guiseley win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guiseley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.78%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guiseley would win this match.

Result
GuiseleyDraw1874 Northwich
68.91% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 16.46% (0.0030000000000001 0) 14.63% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 64.2% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.54% (0.061000000000007 0.06)26.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.2% (0.076000000000001 0.08)46.8% (-0.073 -0.07)
Guiseley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.96% (0.010000000000005 0.01)7.04% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)25.72% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1874 Northwich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (0.082999999999998 0.08)30.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.76% (0.097000000000001 0.1)67.24% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Guiseley 68.91%
    1874 Northwich 14.63%
    Draw 16.46%
GuiseleyDraw1874 Northwich
2-1 @ 9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 7.67% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.28% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.67% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.8% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
6-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 68.91%
1-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.83% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 16.46%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 14.63%

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